It is SO Predictable

If you listen carefully to any media personality today, which includes main stream, bloggers, radio, television, or newspaper, they all seem to concur on one point and that is the unpredictability of the 45th President of the United States. It is amazing to me that so many people from such diverse political viewpoints could all come together on this one issue and yet all be so wrong. He is very predictable if you will only take the time to look.
What will Trump do next seems to be the daily food for fodder.

The world was stunned when Adolph Hitler went about rebuilding a decimated Germany following its debilitating loss in World War I. His total disregard of the Versailles Treaty, which ultimately led to invasion and occupation of many countries, came as a shock not only to the man in the street but also the ruling elites. The amazing fact was that had anyone actually taken the time to read Hitler’s “Mein Kampf” then none of his actions would have come as a surprise. He laid it all out in black and white for all to see.

The case could also be made that a deeper analysis of “The Audacity of Hope” and “Dreams from My Father” gave a very clear and precise picture and blueprint for the actions and reactions of Barrack Obama.

Donald Trump, in his book “The Art of The Deal” has given us the best road map for, not necessarily any initiated action, but his response to any current developments, he finds himself embroiled in.

Negotiations (deal making), according to Trump, means understanding the cards you have been dealt. If you have a weak hand redirect your efforts to that which has a better opportunity for success. In other words don’t continue to beat your head against a stone wall. Given that philosophy in deal making it would seem obvious that healthcare, tax reform and infrastructure development is headed for the ash can as the President moves on to where he is holding a stronger hand.
His book contained eleven steps for business success. Trump seems to be basing his current situation on three of these steps: maximize your options, know your market and deliver the goods.

Trump promised to “make America great again” and in so doing unite America once again. His legislative failure in health care and the resultant problem created by the failure to offset infrastructure spending and the reduction of income from tax revision has apparently sent Trump in a different direction. It is a direction that will unite members from both sides of the aisle. It is a direction that will unite most Americans once again thus allowing him to keep a campaign promise. It is a direction that maximizes his option from sanctions to outright military confrontation. It is a direction that his most current and intimate advisers General Mattis, General Kelly and General McMaster know the market well. It is a direction in which Trump can proclaim he has delivered the goods.

In my opinion, there is no doubt, that following the steps as outlined in “The Art of The Deal,” the only conclusion that can be drawn is that the direction Trump will take is total, all out, declared WAR.

This will not be the first time that a President’s answer to economic, political and even public relations problems has been to declare an all out WAR. From the Mexican War to Afghanistan, Presidents have formulated that the solution to their problems was to unite the public against a common foe and totally change the topic of conversation. Donald Trump is no different.

Like many of the world’s leaders both past and present, including Hitler and Obama, Trump’s actions and reactions are not unpredictable but are very predictable if one only takes the time to read and digest the words he has laid out for all to see.

Take a look at my last book, 44th: A Presidential Conspiracy. If you’d like to learn more, click here.

Written by

With his passion for economics, Bill Tatro has been entertaining audiences on the radio and in seminars for over 30 years. Bill’s dynamic and no nonsense style has made him one of his stations’ most popular show hosts.